adel, Author at GrowthRater

adel

Author Archives: adel

So much for fiscal probity!

For currency markets and bond vigilantes, Trump is proving to be a great disappointment, particularly against the initial high hopes of a return to honest financing following the election rhetoric and the early progress on DOGE by Elon Musk. The initial rally in the USD has now reversed as Trump’s bloated “One Big Beautiful Bill […]

Played again?

Are we being played, yet again? Markets have been suggesting as much since the start of the year, with gold soaring, the USD wilting and US treasury yields edging higher. The penny seems to have dropped even for Elon Musk as Congress tries to push its pork filled funding bill while failing to incorporate any […]

Has deepseek been secretly using nvidia h100 chips?

So what is the real story and reason behind NVIDIA’s stock being hammered over the last couple of days. Ostensibly, it is being presented that a small AI start-up in China (DeepSeek) has single handedly undermined the entire US AI industry by training its AI model for a mere $6m using old Nvidia 800 chips. […]

Follow the money

Back in August of last year I highlighted the seemingly incongruous activity of corporate treasurers who had been raising record levels of new debt from bond issuances, notwithstanding the prevailing market ‘wisdom’ and recomendations that interest rates could only fall from those prevailing levels. Well, with long end bond maturies rising, including an approx +50bps […]

Sitzkreig

Today’s headlines may be celebrating the recovery in US jobs numbers in November (or at least the BIS’s ‘non-farm payroll’ guesstimate), but the reality may that we are just seeing the month-on-month distortions and knock-on effects of goosing the pre-election report for September which seem to have come out of the October figures. In that […]

Hidden taxes to fund the parasitic state

If you want to understand why the UK and Europe are in industrial decline there is no better chart than looking at the comparison of electricity prices by country. Is it any wonder the UK will soon no longer have a steel industry and Germany’s de-industrialisation is not far behind? Of course this competitive disadvantage […]

Goosing US jobs data, before it gets cooked next month!

Now that’s a surprise, an upbeat job growth (gu)estimate released by BIS, in its last update before the November elections. One might almost think they are trying to apply some lipstick to ‘Bidenomics’ to avoid the prospect of their own jobs being culled by that prospective DOGE grim reaper, Elon Musk. What may be less […]

DOGE ball

Can the USD be saved? Given the trajectory in Federal debt and deficits and apparent reluctance of the Uniparty to extract their snouts from the public trough that seems unlikely. Indeed, the assumption that inflation and debt monetisation will continue to define US Treasury policy is the defacto consensus opinion within financial markets and as […]

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