guidance Archives - GrowthRater

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Facebook shareholders finally get the message

What is it about the warning that advertising growth was going to “come down meaningfully”, that markets didn’t understand from last year’s guidance? Perhaps it was our old friend ‘recency bias’ at work, given the sustained high rates of top line growth through both the second half of last year and into the first half […]

What’s wrong with Facebook?

Markets don’t seem to like Facebook. Those with access to the mean reversion analysis in the GrowthRater WebApp will be aware of the systematic relationship between organic revenue growth for these super-normal ‘growthers’ and how far out markets are reaching out to revert the growth rating and OpFCF yield back a market average. While also […]

Tesco investors O/D on the Recovery Effervescent Powder

Back in 2013, consensus forecasts were predicting operating margins for FY14 and FY15 in excess of 5% and which in less than a couple of years had more than halved to little more than 2.2%. It is perhaps not surprising therefore that after almost -£8bn of restructuring and impairment charges across FY14 & FY15 and […]

Pearson AGM & Q1 IMS: a -4% decline in underlying revenues described as “solid”!

Pearson AGM & Q1 IMS Nothing much to see here beyond a re-iteration of the forecasts/guidance made on the 29 Feb and a reminder, if needed, that group earnings are H2 weighted. I enjoyed however, the nice spin of describing Q1 trading as “solid” when organic revenues were down by -4% YoY. I got in […]

Mind the Gap! Firstgroup cuts pensions by widening the CPI vs RPI gap

Back in 2011 when the government announced switching from RPI to CPI for determining public sector pensions we all should have known that this was just another ruse to use an even more unrepresentative inflation measure to cut expenditures. With the government’s lead it was also inevitable that this strategy would also be adopted by […]