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Category Archives for "Publishing"

IHS Markit should be the first to agree that rubbish (‘adjusted’ data) in will lead to rubbish (valuation) out

Give the market a number and it’ll quickly throw back a result. No one should doubt investors’ ability to do basic maths. Give it the wrong number however, and the result will more than likely also be wrong. The old adage of “rubbish in, rubbish out” remains as valid now as ever, which is why […]

Pearson defends the dividend and the shares bounce – as we had foreseen!

With a new Chairman on board and consensus forecasts for 2016 looking way too high, markets had started to doubt the group’s resolve and its ability to sustain the current rate of dividend. As it transpired, most of what we where suggesting yesterday has been matched by this morning’s release by Pearson (dividend, restructuring, restored […]

Pearson’s moment of truth – tomorrow’s 2015 pre-close IMS

Tomorrow Pearson will release its pre-close trading update for 2015 and markets are understandably reluctant to catch this falling knife before seeing whether the new chairman (Sidney Taurel) has dumped the CEO (John Fallon) and with him, his commitment to maintain the dividend (51p net in 2014 with a 34p final) as his “first priority”. […]

Pearson unloved, but oversold

For those of you with the GrowthRater web App, the somewhat sorry tale of Pearson will be old hat and you’ll have been out of the path of this train for some time now, as can be seen from our valuation timeline below. Unfortunately for Pearson, media investors seem to be particularly intolerant to disappointment […]

Pearson CEO buys more time by selling FT Group and Economist stake

Pearson is pricing in a +3.9% CAGR growth rating but has delivered only +1% organic revenue growth in H1 FY15. Deferred revenues however were up +3% organic at end H1, which if translated into similar improvements in H2 organic revenue growth would put the group on course to perhaps delivering +4-5% for FY16 and therefore […]

Pearson H1 FY14 results – cost savings promised, but no growth committment yet

Markets took a little time to appreciate the current cyclical and structural squeeze on profitability, but eventually got the message. So far, that message is pain today as the group invests to extend is leadership in digital learning through a protracted cyclical downswing in its main markets followed by jam tomorrow as these measures yield […]

Informa starts clearing the decks ahead of new CEO arrival

A Friday announcement ahead of a sunny weekend and in the middle of the results season and school holidays is usually a good time to dribble out some news that you don’t want attracting too much attention. So today we have the announcement by Informa that it is dumping 5 of its training businesses for […]

Reed Elsevier (REL LN/REN AS): Maybe there’s life in the old dog yet?

Reed ElsevierÂ Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â PlcÂ (REL.LN)Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â NVÂ (REN.AS) Share priceÂ Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â 511p Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â â‚¬9.0 Growth rating FY3Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â +2.9%Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â +2.8% Revenue CAGR FY1-3Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â +3.6%Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â +3.5% Target CAGR FY3Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â […]

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