Interpublic Q2 disappoints – the canary in the coal mine?

From the -100bps drop in margins as organic sales growth slowed to only +0.4% for its Q2, IPG clearly didn’t see it coming, particularly following the solid performance in Q1 and the easier prior year comparatives it was cycling against for Q2. This lack of visibility and the uncertain impact of Fed monetary tightening on […]

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Yellen does virtuous – 5 years too late!

Confused?  Well you should be be if you’ve been believing the usual output from the Federal Reserve. Contrary to the narrative of robust US economic growth and tightening labour markets requiring a normalisation of interest rates, things aren’t quite as rosy as Ms Yellen had been suggesting.  Behind the increasingly absurd non-farm payroll data with […]

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Wazzup – 11th July 2017

German specialist cooker manufacturer Rational took top honours today with its guidance upgrade as US chain sales continue to storm ahead while back in Brexitland, an underwhelming Q1 sales report from M&S and for Pearson a difficult attempted exit from its consumer book venture (PRH) did little to lift the gloom.     . Rational – FY17 […]

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June US payrolls: Dead zone between Fed rate decisions

With the Fed having already edged up rates, June’s non-farm payrolls were going to have to be fairly spectacular to merit much attention as the ‘new’ Presidential grand tour moves to Europe and the G20.  The reported MoM net job additions of +222k looked solid enough, although strip out government adds of +35k and Private […]

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Diageo’s One Billion Dollar gamble

One Billion Dollars!, Yes, that’s right, Diageo has agreed to pay up to one billion dollars ($700m up front with the remaining $300m deferred) for Casamigos, a four year old tequila brand created in 2013 by George Clooney, Rande Gerber (a “nightlife entrepreneur and Mr Cindy Crawford), & Mike Meldman (a property developer). Given that […]

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Whitbread continues to deliver the goods

Whitbread Q1 trading update confirms solid start to year – remains in the GrowthRater portfolio   The recent consumption data for May from VISA  that I highlighted earlier in the month which showed a relatively buoyant YoY growth in expenditure of +3.3% for Hotels, Restaurants and Bars was also reflected in Whitbread’s Q1 trading update. While […]

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Energy politics and fickle friends

Energy politics makes for fickle friends. A decade ago, Qatar was the US administration’s BFF, with its invitation to relocate the US regional military base from Saudi Arabia to Qatar in return for support to secure a pipeline access through Syria for its soon to be expanding natural gas production. As a way of pricking […]

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