Expect Yellen to chicken out again on rate rise for September

Will she or won’t she? It seems with Fed interest rate policy remaining the only game in town, strategists are stuck with trying to second guess Yellen’s next move at the forthcoming FOMC on 16-17 September. Of course we’ve been here before and we can look at all the evidence and data under the sun […]

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For GfK, another guidance miss could make it the next target

For more see:  www.growthrater.com   Having adopted a “shape for growth motto” for 2015, GfK is struggling to deliver, with its core syndicated electronic research business hit hard in Q2 from the backwash from weakening Chinese demand. While the group is doggedly maintaining its full year 2015 guidance to deliver growth in organic revenues and […]

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Zoopla stabilises agency membership which sugar coats ‘Value Creation Plan’

For more see – https://www.growthrater.com/growthrater/#/summary     Last trading report – IMS to end July 2015: The pill investors are being asked to swallow is a new incentive scheme that could reward the CEO with up to 7.5m new shares (via nil priced options) over the next 3 years dependent on a TSR exceeding +8% […]

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Pearson CEO buys more time by selling FT Group and Economist stake

Pearson is pricing in a +3.9% CAGR growth rating but has delivered only +1% organic revenue growth in H1 FY15. Deferred revenues however were up +3% organic at end H1, which if translated into similar improvements in H2 organic revenue growth would put the group on course to perhaps delivering +4-5% for FY16 and therefore […]

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Amazon through the growth prism

Amazon growthrater mean reversion Horizon analysis chart 23 July 2015

Markets often distinguish growth from value, but for an equity, growth defines value. For most stocks, this can be seen by the close relationship between the organic revenue growth being delivered by a company and the implied growth rating being discounted by the share’s operating FCF yield. A problem however arises when trying to price […]

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Google – markets chasing stories arrive late to the party

Markets love a good story. They’re so much easier to digest than actual analysis and usually provide a catalyst for action that brokers and journalists need to stimulate a transaction. Take for example Google’s Q2 results last Thursday. The results themselves were solid, but were neither significantly ahead of street estimates nor provided anything particularly […]

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Get the oil price right and make the right call on oil stocks

Invest in an oil major such as Exxon or Chevron and there are two over-riding factors to consider. The first and probably obvious one for Groups which traditionally make over three quarters of their income from pumping oil and gas out of the ground is the price of oil. While an oil spill and >$40bn […]

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