adel
Author Archives: adel

WPP – slowing growth progressively reflected in rating, but are markets now also anticipating a recession?

Following Friday’s results from WPP, there are 3 areas of interest to me as a potential investor, and ones where the GrowthRater model and sensitivity analysis can offer insight on; at least on the latter two. 1. The immediate forecast 2. The longer term growth outlook and therefore rating 3. The volatility or valuation risk […]

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Can you guess the new addition to the GrowthRater portfolio?

Can you guess the stock?   Okay, I think you’ve all had a fairly easy ride so far following some of the GrowthRater model portfolio changes that I have posted on this blog, so  now you’ll have to do a little work to guess my new position.  Just to remind you of some of the […]

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Harvesters target Unilever

The merger of Kraft and Heinz was the combination of two processed foods groups that were nearing the end of the road in terms of organic revenue growth and cost savings.  In a world of sub-normal carrying costs for debt and over $1.5bn of additional cost synergies from merging the groups, their PE owners were […]

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Goldman’s next 25 sigma event may be blamed on Skynet

Goldman have reportedly replaced 600 traders with 200 computer engineers since 2000. The ratio however, doesn’t look very efficient, so presumably they’re working on other projects such as AI, although once this is developed there may not be too much demand then for Javascript developers either. https://www.technologyreview.com/s/603431/as-goldman-embraces-automation-even-the-masters-of-the-universe-are-threatened/   Hopefully, the programming and models will be […]

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Value traps and opportunities and how to spot them

With a relative lull today in the results deluge, I thought it might be interesting to review how some of last week’s stack up, but from a GrowthRating perspective. As we’ve all had to wade thru far to much verbiage, I’ve kept it simple with some annotated charts and only a very few words.  The […]

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GrowthRater portfolio: Closing long position in IAG for +33% gain in 6 months (+24% relative to FT Allshare)

Having added IAG Plc (IAG_L) to the GrowthRater portfolio in those dark days post the Brexit vote I am now closing the position and taking my gains. With an entry price of 359p and exit price of 476p, that represents a gain of approx +33% over the six months. Over the same period the FT […]

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January beat for US non-farm payrolls – or did they?

Don’t you just love it? Every month the financial community analyses the eagerly awaited US non-farm payroll numbers and impresses us all with their reading of the state of the economy and the next potential move in interest rates and therefore life as we know it.  Of course for particularly sophisticated algo funds all this […]

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GrowthRater model portfolio additions – Apple (aapl), PayPal (pypl) and Paddy Power Betfair (ppb_l)

I am adding 3 stocks this morningto the GrowthRater model portfolio Apple, Inc (aapl) at $121.4 per share PayPal, Inc (pypl) at $39.8 per share Paddy Power Betfair (ppb_l) at 8,380p per share   Apple, inc (aapl):  Added at $121.4 (close)   PayPal, inc (pypl):  Added at $39.8 (close)   Paddy PowerBetfair Plc (ppb_l):  Added […]

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