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ENIRO AB – Sometimes a negative valuation in the GrowthRater is justified!
ENIRO AB Friday’s announcement warning that no agreement had been reached by the 31 March Deadline with the banks has been followed by this morning’s refinancing proposals where Convertible and Preference shareholders have basically the stark choice of agreeing to exchanging their rights for just common stock and then stumping up more cash in a […]
Continue readingWhat’s wrong with Facebook?
Markets don’t seem to like Facebook. Those with access to the mean reversion analysis in the GrowthRater WebApp will be aware of the systematic relationship between organic revenue growth for these super-normal ‘growthers’ and how far out markets are reaching out to revert the growth rating and OpFCF yield back a market average. While also […]
Continue readingValue traps and opportunities and how to spot them
With a relative lull today in the results deluge, I thought it might be interesting to review how some of last week’s stack up, but from a GrowthRating perspective. As we’ve all had to wade thru far to much verbiage, I’ve kept it simple with some annotated charts and only a very few words. The […]
Continue readingGrowthRater portfolio: Closing long position in IAG for +33% gain in 6 months (+24% relative to FT Allshare)
Having added IAG Plc (IAG_L) to the GrowthRater portfolio in those dark days post the Brexit vote I am now closing the position and taking my gains. With an entry price of 359p and exit price of 476p, that represents a gain of approx +33% over the six months. Over the same period the FT […]
Continue readingMarks & Spencer – remaining in the GrowthRater portfolio, but what about the other two?
Marks & Spencer: getting closer to delivering the growth being priced into the stock, with speculative bid/mgt recovery thrown in for free! I added this stock it to my portfolio last summer and the stabilisation in revenues, particularly in Clothing & Home in Thursday’s (12 Jan 2017) Q3 sales IMS continues to support that decision. […]
Continue readingGrowthRater portfolio – closing longs on FedEx (+34% with +20% rel) and DMGT (+8% & +5% rel)
To pay for the Christmas presents, I’ll be closing a couple of long positions in the GrowthRater portfolio when markets open. One because it has done what I had hoped for and more (FedEx) and the other because it is increasing looking like dead money, or worse, in the face of deterioration in its markets […]
Continue readingGartner Inc follow-up as US jobs data confirms softening trend for Info segment
Last month I flagged a warning on Gartner Inc. Consensus forecasts for a sustained rate of revenue growth over the next two years are clearly wrong. The question is whether they are too high or too low. In the blog piece on the subject I highlighted the correlation of the group’s organic revenue record to […]
Continue readingGartner Inc – Consensus forecasts in straight lines are usually wrong
Nature may abhor a straight line, but analyst forecasts don’t seem to, even when estimating revenues for a business with an historic margin of error on revenues of over +/-4ppts. I take a look at Gartner as consensus forecasts predict what its never achieved before, a straight run of revenue growth and into a slowing […]
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