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“Beware the Ides of March” – FOMC rate increase more likely after February’s US jobs data
“And standing here tonight, I’m afraid that I don’t hear – a – thing. Just… silence. …” John Tuld – Margin Call We are approaching what may prove to be a formative FOMC meeting on 15-16 March. After earlier macro growth fears out of China and a widening cadre of central bankers going full retard with NIRP, there […]
Continue readingPreparing for a possible recession from end 2016
Economics is proving to be a little like a tube of toothpaste. Squeeze it one place and the toothpaste is just displaced elsewhere. When the Fed adopted what was already a failing Japanese experiment in QE in 2008/09, it provided a much needed liquidity fix for the credit crisis, but a dangerous temptation that […]
Continue readingUS dollar rise has further to go before the Fed will panic
After the equity market drubbing into the first week of 2016, attention was back on the Fed and whether an expected weak set of employment data for December might provide some political cover to forestall the next upward revision in interest rates possibly due in March. If the Fed holds rates however, it won’t be […]
Continue reading“It sure is a hell of a lot easier just being first” (John Tuld – Margin Call)
Has Yellen seen the movie Margin Call, I wonder? In it, Jeremy Iron’s classic Wall Street boss (John Tuld) referred to 3 ways of making a living: be first, be smarter, or cheat. Of course in financial markets these are not mutually exclusive options where Governments habitually use their central banks to operate their own […]
Continue readingWill the Fed finally enter rehab at its 15-16 December FOMC meeting?
Is the Fed that junkie that keeps on promising to kick the habit because they know the dire consequences if they don’t, but just want that last fix because it feels so good and they’re frightened of cold turkey? How many times has the Fed now signalled it will come off the QE juice but […]
Continue reading“It sure is a hell of a lot easier just being first” (John Tuld – Margin Call)
//youtu.be/ag14Ao_xO4c Has Yellen seen the movie Margin Call, I wonder? In it, Jeremy Iron’s classic Wall Street boss (John Tuld) referred to 3 ways of making a living: be first, be smarter, or cheat. Of course in financial markets these are not mutually exclusive options where Governments habitually use their central banks to operate […]
Continue readingYellen – Who are you calling Chicken?
LoL – Yellen chickens out of hike interest rate as expected. Indeed, one FOMC member appears to be expecting negative rates. Just confirms that the Fed has no idea how to get the patient off the hopium. This party is going to have to carry on until we finally get a currency collapse. With […]
Continue readingEconomists predict 2018 for the next recession – LOL
Well that’s okay, according to a recent survey by Bloomberg, most economists don’t think the next recession will be until 2018. As most of these are employed by banks with a vested interest to pump shares, this is most convenient, at least on two fronts. Firstly, the very low risk of an early recession is […]
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