Category Archives for "Economics"

How many jobs added in July??

Perhaps Biden was correct and this is not a recession, as the US reports another increase in monthly private sector jobs in July. This time from June’s reported +404k net adds to almost half a million (+471k) in July, with annualised  hourly wages meanwhile increasing by +5.6%. But hang on, if one strips out the […]

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Pelosi’s stake in NVIDIA: Front running, or trying to close an eroding position?

Is anyone really that surprised that Nancy Pelosi’s husband (Paul) may have been front-running a $52bn CHIPS Plus bill  that his wife was promoting a couple of days after the disclosure of his substantial investments in a potential beneficiary, NVIDIA?  Unfortunately, such behaviour has become all too normalised in the US’s two-tiered judicial system. What […]

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Pain at the pump? – blame the woke governments and not the oil majors!

In the UK, forecourt (pump) fuel prices are up +35% for both petrol and diesel (to 191p/199p respectively) from the last time the price of brent crude held above $120/bbl in Q1 2012. With the oil majors having all reported a strong increase in refining margins and downstream profitability, it must be tempting therefore suggest […]

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US Federal Reserve – all gong no dinner!

Having flunked the very first month of its balance sheet unwind that was articulated in its 04 May ‘cunning plan’, the US Federal Reserve will find that the alternatives will prove no more palatable than those following the inept tenure of that chair up to 1978, Arthur Burns. Sure, the immediate response to Jerome Powell […]

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Be careful what you wish for!

“Is this deliberate?” is becoming a more familiar question as people slowly awaken. The answer of course remains an emphatic “Yes”, but it is the growing realisation of this agenda that is the important feature here. ‘They’ told you that money printing was good, that lockdowns work and are legal, as are mandating experimental gene […]

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A warning signal to the EU/Euro as 10Y bond yield spreads widen

Markets may be focused on rising inflation and bond yields, but this doesn’t fully explain the forces at play here, or the potential ramifications. One of these can be seen by the diverging spreads in government bond yields as an enforced tightening monetary policy removes central bank ability to artificially suppress funding costs for the […]

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Impending jobs squeeze, or manipulated narrative?

It’s not too difficult to identify the potential storm clouds gathering on the economic horizon, so why is it that two of the largest investment banks feel the need to state the blindingly obvious over the past week?  It is not as if either Goldman’s or JP Morgan are known for their philanthropy in offering […]

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