- Home /
- Uncategorized
Weaning consumers off the debt fix – maybe
Well that seemed short-lived. Perhaps the bounce in US equity markets on the February non-farms was just a one day wonder. The numbers however, weren’t too shabby for equity prices; the combination of a better than expected net job growth (including upward revision in the January guesstimate), but with a lower pace of average wage […]
Continue readingWazzup – 23rd May 2017
Chemicals day at Wazzup. – Yesterday’s $14bn merger announcement between Huntsman and Clariant show that it can be done, notwithstanding Akzo Nobel still playing ‘hard to get’ in face of PPG’s multiple advances. With the sector also at the cusp of pushing through price rises to recoup earlier increases in raw material and […]
Continue readingWazzup – 19th May 2017
Johnston Press (jpr_l) – AGM IMS (wk 1-17): Still tough out there for regionals . . . . Johnston Press (jpr_l) – AGM IMS (wk 1-17): Still tough […]
Continue readingWazzup today in the markets – 16th May 2017
ITE (ite_l) – H1 FY17 results & strategy review: Underwhelming on both . Vodafone (vod_l) – FY17 results: Value trap as investors […]
Continue readingeBay – Closing long position with gain of +30% (+28% relative: +60% annualised)
eBay long positioned closed at $31.9 ps to crystallise a >+30% absolute and +28% relative gain (vs the S&P500) since we added the stock to the GrowthRater portfolio, just over 5 months ago at $24.5 ps (http://growthrater.com/ebay-added-growthrater-model-portfolio-close-price-24-49/). Annualised, that represents a return of +65% on the trade and +60% on a relative basis against the […]
Continue readingBrexit sitzkrieg
Over three months on from the Brexit vote and the World still turns and UK economic activity has been largely unaffected, with August retail sales up +6.2% YoY and September data showing UK consumer confidence index returning to pre-referendum levels (GfK) and UK manufacturing PMI (Markit) hitting 55.4, the highest level since May 2014. Lower […]
Continue readingAuto & jobs slowdown in August – another excuse for the Fed not to raise rates!
Another month of hints about imminent interest rate increases by Yellen and the Fed leak machine and we are probably no closer to an actual rate increase. At least in July we had another relatively firm private sector job creation and US auto sales to suggest that the super-low rate environment was well past its […]
Continue readingLooking beyond central bank interference in equity valuations
Behind the incessant background noise of Yellen’s ‘will she won’t she raise rates’ discussion, the closing of the Q1 results season provides a good opportunity to take stock of the broader earnings and more importantly OpFCF yield basis on which equities are priced. Relative to expectations at the start of the year, there have been […]
Continue reading