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Oil stocks continue to reach beyond a $60/bbl oil price
Mr Micawber it seems is alive and well over at OPEC, where the last ‘do nothing’ meeting has ended in the warm glow of oil prices being up 80% since the last event (in Dec 2015), with the narrative of a market experiencing a net reduction in non-OPEC supply of approx -740k b/d against global […]
Continue readingMarkets get nervous on Ad Agencies ahead of long awaited ANA report on media kick-backs
Phantom menace It’s taken eight months, but is seems the Association of National Advertisers (ANA) is finally ready to release its eight month investigation into US media agency rebates. Its apparent pre-release briefing to a number of trade publications and newspapers suggests that it has uncovered ‘Non-Transparent’ practices, including claims that agencies are collecting media […]
Continue readingIs Mediaset Bollore’s next media target?
As the layers are peeled away, there is a shocker in the Mediaset numbers. This is the woefully low EBIT margins currently being delivered from the core Italian commercial TV activities. With its Mediaset Premium results for 2015 now finally revealed (yes and you only have to go to page 337 of Mediaset’s 2015 annual […]
Continue readingAnother US non-farm payroll report and probably another deferral of the interest rate increase
The Fed it seems is off the hook for an interest rate increase for at least another month after the May non-farm payroll number. At +38k of net additions for the month (+25k for private sector) and with March and April figures also restated down by -59k, this is hardly the escape velocity of a […]
Continue readingFacebook: Q1 beat followed by controlling shareholder share sale – ring any bells?
Facebook shares had a good bounce on its blistering Q1 results which, oh so conveniently, accompanied its announcement of a stock split into new non-voting C class shares. This is a similar ploy the one Vere Rothermere used a few years ago with the DMGT scrip issue as a way of enabling him (well at […]
Continue readingLooking beyond central bank interference in equity valuations
Behind the incessant background noise of Yellen’s ‘will she won’t she raise rates’ discussion, the closing of the Q1 results season provides a good opportunity to take stock of the broader earnings and more importantly OpFCF yield basis on which equities are priced. Relative to expectations at the start of the year, there have been […]
Continue readingPearson AGM & Q1 IMS: a -4% decline in underlying revenues described as “solid”!
Pearson AGM & Q1 IMS Nothing much to see here beyond a re-iteration of the forecasts/guidance made on the 29 Feb and a reminder, if needed, that group earnings are H2 weighted. I enjoyed however, the nice spin of describing Q1 trading as “solid” when organic revenues were down by -4% YoY. I got in […]
Continue readingeBay added to the GrowthRater model portfolio (close price $24.49)
It is comforting to see the group firm up the lower end of its constant fx revenue growth range for both Q2 and the FY16 after a better than expect outrun for Q1. The group however is not out of the woods just yet as the platform rejuvenation still needs to be completed and the […]
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